| Expert
witnesses have been under fire recently. Their role in some high
profile cases has attracted public disquiet, and sometimes ill-informed
criticism in the press, as well as draconian professional discipline.
It is very important not to allow the experts upon whom the delivery
of justice in our courts so often vitally depends to become frightened
or deterred, as anecdotal evidence suggests is beginning to happen.
An expert qualified by learning and experience
may give evidence of his opinion in court, as an exception to the
otherwise general rule that a witness may only give evidence of
fact. The rationale for this is not that the expert’s opinion
will be definitive of guilt or innocence, or in a civil case determinative
of the outcome of the dispute. It is rather that in trials which
involve complex issues of which the Judge and/or jury are ignorant,
they should be helped to understand those issues by specialists
who are able to explain and to interpret them.
Plainly it is not, nor should it be, any offence
on the part of such an expert that in the view of judge or jury
his opinion is ultimately not persuasive, or that it is held to
be mistaken or wrong, or is for whatever reason disregarded or not
preferred. Provided his opinion is honestly held, and impartially
presented after careful enquiry and research, the expert witness
has done his duty, and done it properly. Just as a barrister is
not negligent for the fact alone that his advice turns out to have
been mistaken, nor a doctor simply because his treatment fails to
work, so an expert witness who has diligently formed an opinion,
and honestly expressed it, is not guilty of impropriety, and cannot
be professionally culpable for the fact alone that his opinion is
not accepted at trial, or is held after forensic enquiry to have
been wrong.
By way of example, there will in every contested medical negligence
action be two opposing and often diametrically contrary opinions
expressed by experts on either side. Those opinions may be presented,
entirely fairly and honestly, in terms which allow no middle ground
whereby each represents part of the truth. Unlike the situation
at a scientific symposium, where the audience may take away their
impressions of the differing views for further thought or research,
and one day reach a scientifically conclusive view on way or the
other, the expert witnesses’ opinions are offered in the context
of an adversarial trial, a process designed to arrive there and
then at an answer which favours one side of an argument over the
other.
In this civil context the judge must decide
which of the two should prevail, always of course with the unscientific
luxury of determining the issue “on the balance of probabilities”.
In effect he will be deciding that one of them is most probably
wrong, or at least not provenly right, about the significance of
the facts, and/or about the justification for the decisions or actions
of the defendant. Yet at the end of these cases we do not expect
a hue and cry, or allegations that the expert whose opinion has
been rejected has acted dishonestly, improperly or culpably. Particularly
in medicine, but also in other specialist disciplines, there is
often room for opposing views to be held by experts whose respective
interpretations of the facts, or of the inferences properly to be
drawn from the facts, differ markedly on grounds which are at least
arguable, and are advanced with complete sincerity.
To say this is not to excuse some of the more
extreme errors of which unwise experts can be guilty. To use lurid
or simplistic language in conveying an opinion to a judge or jury
is never justifiable, though there may be a very fine line between
translating abstruse scientific concepts into language which lay
audiences can understand, as the expert has to do, and over-dramatising
or dumbing down the material which it his task to get across.
Sir Roy Meadow gave evidence in the Sally
Clarke trial of a kind and in a manner which led, subject to his
pending appeal, to a finding of Serious Professional Misconduct
and erasure by the GMC. It appears not only that his excursion into
erroneous statistics about the chances of two cot-deaths in one
family probably had little if any impact on the outcome of the trial,
but also that the statistics themselves were derived from published
material which might have been thought to be irreproachable. Nevertheless
it is an essential part of the job of lawyers who call expert evidence
to satisfy themselves by rigorous enquiry of the weight and the
validity of the relevant expert opinion, and to subject it to logical
analysis, before they lead it from the witness box.
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Statistics is a
science well known to be arcane, if not impenetrable. I speak with
hindsight, but the concept that a cot-death might be genetically
predetermined would at least suggest as a possibility that another
in the same family might be more, not less, likely than normal.
Again in hindsight, but as an important illustration of the principle,
it would have served the prosecution team well to have enlisted
a professional statistician to verify the apparently compelling
statistical contentions to be advanced by a witness whose special
field was paediatrics. Just as importantly it ought to have been
a crucial part of the defence role to have challenged what Sir Roy
proceeded to say in court, of which they will have had advance notice
in the form of his witness statement. It does not appear to me that
they did so, or that they marshalled or advanced a reasoned case
against it, with or without the assistance of a professional statistician.
So my message is that in any court proceedings
involving expert evidence, barristers and solicitors need to be
keenly aware of the necessity to establish, to their own satisfaction
and to a high standard, the strength of expert opinion on which
they wish to rely, and how well it withstands the case made against
it. This requires detailed exploration at the outset with the expert’s
assistance, and putting it robustly to the test of contrary views
which subsequently emerge in reports from experts on the other side.
If this task is properly carried out it will
serve as a solid protection for expert witnesses against accusations
of bias, or of impropriety, and of course in the end of professional
misconduct. If and insofar as the expert has, unwittingly or otherwise,
gone out unreasonably on a limb, he will be reminded of that before
his report is exchanged or the trial begins. If he has strayed outside
his field, that will become apparent and the pitfalls and the criticisms
avoided. To the extent that his opinion is weakened or even undermined
by cogent expert opinion on the other side, he will have been enabled,
and will no doubt be glad, to confront and recognize this, and on
reflection to rethink and, if necessary, to revise and/or recast
the advice he is giving. For there are few less edifying experiences
than that of an expert who comes belatedly, after the trial has
begun, to the realization that the opinion he has given, and on
which the lawyers have been proceeding all along, is erroneous,
or substantially less supportable than he had hitherto believed
it to be, and that he can no longer advance it with conviction before
the judge or jury.
If matters are conducted in this way, it will
be rarely if ever that an expert presents to the court an opinion
or argument that is so unreasonable or unsupportable that his bona
fides are called into question, or his professional conduct impugned.
Opinions which are excessively partisan, or overly dogmatic, or
undermined by cogent and compelling evidence from the other side,
or are otherwise incapable of withstanding logical analysis will
be exposed before trial begins, and reliance upon them avoided.
What is more, if lawyers do their duty in this way a further huge
benefit will be gained. I speak of the avoidance of the crushing
blow to the party whose unjustified claim collapses, or whose unsustainable
defence is dismantled only after the matter has been taken to a
trial upon which so many hopes have rested for so long.
That is the right way to avoid the kind of
problems which beset Sir Roy Meadow, and which have sent a shiver
down the spines of many experts, no matter how conscientious they
may be. It will provide the best possible protection for the expert
against allegations of misconduct, for the parties against potential
injustice, and for the courts against the presentation of evidence
which is later alleged to have tainted or undermined the trial process.
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